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The Effect of Global Events on Sports Betting

Published on January 24, 2024 by admin

Sports betting represents a major global industry, with revenues reaching $73 billion in 2021. However, as a form of entertainment relying on the occurrence of sports matches and seasons, sports betting remains deeply influenced by global events and crises unfolding in the world. Ranging from disease outbreaks to armed conflicts to financial crashes, major international happenings have demonstrated a capacity to significantly disrupt sports scheduling and odds-making, redirecting sports betting trends with Lucky Dreams Casino and revenues in complex fashion.

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Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic starkly revealed global events’ potential to reshape sports betting through the outright cancellation or suspension of seasons and matches on an international scale. As the virus spread in Q1 and Q2 of 2020, nearly all major sports leagues postponed or shortened their seasons, including the NBA, NHL, MLB, and European soccer leagues. With fewer games occurring and thus fewer opportunities for placing wagers, these suspensions drove sharp decreases in sports betting handle and revenues. New Jersey saw its sports betting handle decline from $141 million in February 2020 to just $13 million in May 2020.Entities taking bets thus confronted presses for refunds while still handling high fixed costs, causing financial loss.

Table 1. U.S. States’ Monthly Sports Betting Handle During COVID-19 Pandemic

StateFebruary 2020 HandleMarch 2020 HandleApril 2020 HandleMay 2020 Handle
New Jersey$141 million$126 million$52 million$13 million
Pennsylvania$316 million$150 million$0.9 million$0.3 million

Shift to Obscure Events’ Betting

With major sports unavailable for betting during the pandemic’s peak, many gambled on obscure events hardly betted on before COVID-19 to satisfy their demand. These included Russian table tennis, Belarussian soccer, and various low-tier basketball leagues continuing play amidst the wider sports world stoppage. Their unfamiliar nature compelled betting providers to be cautious in releasing odds and accepting bets. Yet even as major leagues resumed in late 2020, this expansion of betting options endured to permanently enlarge the domain of events covered.

Long-Term Viewers and Revenue Shifts

Cancelations and modifications of sports seasons during COVID-19 also influenced sports betting by transitioning some casual viewers into more hardcore fans via increased televised coverage of competitions like UFC matches. With deeper viewer investment and knowledge, these fans became more inclined toward sports betting long-term. However, the ultimate impact remains complex, as entities that took major revenue losses during peak pandemic disruption may still endure disadvantages relative to companies less affected. If these struggling firms reduce marketing investments or increase compulsive gambling incentives to rebuild revenue, problem gambling could rise.

Influence of Economic Crises

As seen in the 2008 Financial Crisis, economic downturns hold sweeping capacity to redirect sports betting trends through decreasing the disposable income available to spend on gambling. U.S. households’ discretionary spending declined over 6% from 2007 to 2010, likely squeezing recreational gambling budgets. Yet the extent such economic impacts reduce or even increase sports betting varies by country and class. Recessions can expand unemployment most among lower income service jobs with less sports betting participation to begin, limiting lost revenue. Moreover, with less money for entertainment like restaurants or vacations, some middle income consumers may maintain normal sports betting habits or even view gambling losses as less impactful relative to other dropping living standards.

Changes in Risk-Taking Outlook

Beyond altering disposable income for microgaming jackpot, financial crises may shift cultural outlooks toward risk and uncertainty. With growing worries over incomes and savings in downturns, betters often gravitate toward safer wagers rather than risky, fun bets. 

For example, during the 2008 U.S. economic crisis, gambling sites saw 60% decreases in bets on risky exotic wagers like poker and horses compared to more standard wagers like basketball. Sites may thus rebalance offerings toward conservative bets in crisis periods to align with demand. Economic instability can also motivate problem gambling in hopeless mindsets. Yet whether cultural shifts nurture more reckless or careful gambling varies between recessions.

Influence of Armed Conflicts

Though influencing sports betting less directly than economic issues, armed conflicts also hold potential to significantly disrupt seasons and odds-setting. Local conflicts naturally instigate cancellations in impacted leagues like Ukraine’s football league suspending games after Russia’s 2022 invasion. Yet involvement of major powers expands such disruptions like Russia and Belarus banning all major sports teams from international competitions over sanctions. 

With potential still to spread sanctions blocking sports data transfers if conflicts escalate, databases and modeling for odds-making could suffer. Match cancellations from security threats also impact events beyond warzones like the 2015 Paris bombing shifting the Ireland vs France soccer match to Dublin.

Shifting National Sentiments

Similar to economic crises, armed conflicts may indirectly nurture cultural outlook shifts impacting sports betting preferences. Successfully hosting high-profile sporting events offers conflict nations prestige to maintain national morale like Ukraine seeking 2030 FIFA World Cup matches post-invasion. Hence, betting interest and volume around these teams may rise. Conflicts also drive refugee migration, redistributing fans and their loyalties into other countries, expanding wagers on certain national and league teams there while decreasing home betting revenue. Though secondary to war’s devastation, the ability of conflicts to strengthen or undermine national pride through sports ensures their events and outcomes will factor into betting decisions.

Conclusion

Major disease outbreaks, financial crashes, and geopolitical conflicts represent only some of the many global forces carrying potential to transform the sports betting landscape. These crises disrupt primary operations from event scheduling to odds calculations while nurturing macro-social changes influencing risk outlooks and entertainment budgets. While adaptability initiatives like bookmakers covering new events and matches offer short term solutions, fully containing global events’ sports betting impacts remains unlikely. Their unpredictable emergence ensures management must instead focus on responding to these crises’ initial effects in localized fashion rather than hopeless efforts toward total control.

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